Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 17.927375 20.862820 24.075274 27.844776 32.139353 36.872177 42.475220
2024-10-27 12.234911 16.003194 20.565684 26.463169 33.847453 42.747679 54.243044
2024-11-03 10.143666 14.523015 20.251522 28.214591 38.904583 52.653601 71.550685
2024-11-10 8.934012 13.782155 20.537865 30.496138 44.626429 63.750877 91.335708
2024-11-17 7.482796 12.360962 19.560939 30.748697 47.424747 71.028944 106.535947
2024-11-24 6.211709 10.938010 18.295573 30.294193 48.995438 76.552932 119.586827
2024-12-01 5.123937 9.589309 16.900320 29.375508 49.642315 80.633062 130.710156
2024-12-08 4.411338 8.731004 16.136610 29.301509 51.498026 86.575109 144.990824
2024-12-15 3.872326 8.078736 15.607298 29.508723 53.761323 93.256527 160.854938
2024-12-22 3.148874 6.952380 14.080147 27.781799 52.559496 94.195001 167.509093
2024-12-29 2.891107 6.687438 14.073903 28.743215 56.047604 103.092569 187.822055
2025-01-05 2.728172 6.587147 14.358283 30.256248 60.630273 114.156713 212.526922
2025-01-12 2.327117 5.935746 13.527621 29.651470 61.482021 119.172789 227.886511
2025-01-19 1.904732 5.158014 12.334216 28.200534 60.634166 121.191169 238.355714
2025-01-26 1.813099 5.138059 12.738971 30.057610 66.389317 135.729872 272.514593
2025-02-02 1.766531 5.219623 13.375396 32.473329 73.486660 153.322442 313.568498
2025-02-09 1.577362 4.896810 13.043845 32.740732 76.206651 162.769360 340.026044
2025-02-16 1.369415 4.477574 12.417629 32.259724 77.288445 169.081540 360.915780
2025-02-23 1.165956 4.022894 11.628222 31.287304 77.186114 172.984599 377.330480
2025-03-02 1.033617 3.745552 11.239513 31.208970 79.031720 180.960604 402.362011
2025-03-09 0.930458 3.533728 10.987359 31.428323 81.562012 190.531333 431.256833
2025-03-16 0.763000 3.071888 9.978860 29.599969 79.142445 189.416483 438.044017
2025-03-23 0.715982 3.004206 10.063682 30.617928 83.575488 203.404143 477.397172